Article From Labour Comment, July 2002

“. . . . I cannot save until I find somebody else who wants to spend. The notion that we could all save together is silly: the truth is that only a few well-off people who have more than they need can afford to provide for their future in this way; and they could not do it were there not others spending more than they possess. Peter must spend what Paul saves, or Paul’s savings will go rotten. Between the two nothing is saved. The nation as a whole must make its bread and eat it as it goes along. A nation which stopped working would be dead in a fortnight even if every man, woman, and child in it had houses and lands and a million of money in the savings bank. When you see the rich man’s wife (or anyone else’s wife) shaking her head over the thriftlessness of the poor because they do not all save, pity the lady’s ignorance; but do not irritate the poor by repeating her nonsense to them.” SHAW,“THE INTELLIGENT WOMAN’S GUIDE” 1928.

THE LAND OF
MILK AND MONEY!

IT’S A MOST DISTRESSFUL COUNTRY! WE HAVE SO MUCH MONEY AND SO FEW HOLES TO STASH IT!

IN THE LAND OF “POPULAR CAPITALISM”, OVER A MILLION PEOPLE HAVE JUST INVESTED 12 BILLION EURO IN THE NEW GOVERNMENT SAVINGS SCHEME! THAT FIGURE IS DOUBLE WHAT THE G8 SUMMIT PROPOSED AT CALGARY TO GIVE IN AID TO THE AFRICAN COUNTRIES LAST MONTH.

Less than three years ago, 400,000 small investors in what was described as “a people response to a people’s issue” invested in Eircom. The value of these shares have lost a third, but the Government earned 3.3 billion Euro from the deal.

Last month, we learned that we have one millionaire for every 525 citizens—15,000 millionaires in all, and this excludes real estate holdings!

Down in the Kingdom, the Kerry Co-op is about to divvy up 6.4 million Kerry Group shares to co-op members. That means that 1.5 billion Euro worth of Kerry Group shares are held either by Kerry Co-op or a tightly-knit group of local shareholders, mainly farmers who supply milk.

When the Government Savings Account Scheme (Special Savings Incentive Account, SSIA) deadline closed on 30th April, 2002, almost €120 million flowed into deposit-linked special savings schemes, for the month of April alone, according to the Central Bank.

This was a fifth of the total €536 million Euro deposited in such schemes. The funds attract a tax break worth 25 per cent of the deposit. The Government gives a Euro on every four Euro you save.

Another €500 million was invested in stock-market linked schemes.

The Revenue have introduced a new SSIA tax rate of 23 per cent. This will only apply to the interest you have earned on your savings, provided you remain in the scheme for five years and make no withdrawals during that time.

It is estimated that approx. 12 billion Euro will have been saved by the end of the five-year savings scheme in 2007.

On the basis that the Government pay out one Euro for every four Euro saved, the cost of this initiative to the incoming Government will be something in the region of €2.4 billion. This is almost two-thirds of the amount of capital spending that will be required to modernise the health service, according to the Fianna Fail election manifesto. It is almost exactly equivalent to the amount of money that will be borrowed every year by the new Government and its Minister for Finance, Mr. McCreevy. To put it another way: during the life of the new Government one entire year’s borrowing requirement will go towards paying for the interest in the SSIA scheme.

There is a definite political thrust to the savings scheme—were the new Fianna Fail/Progressive Democrat Government to retain office for the full term of five years, the next election would coincide with the savings scheme payout!

The expected spending spree when the one million account holders spend the bulk of the €12 billion saved will result in a tax windfall of almost €2.5 billion Euro in VAT and other taxes, covering the entire cost of the investor-friendly scheme, according to Government spokespersons.

This will give the incoming Government in five years’ time an extra €2.5 billion to spend while giving a massive infusion to the Irish economy as a whole.

At present, Ireland’s 1.2 million households, of 3.03 people in each, have an average weekly household budget of €455.42, giving a weekly spend of €546 million.

This means that, at today’s prices, the economy will be exposed to a spending spree equal to an extra five months’ spending, if, as anticipated, the bulk of the money saved is spent by account holders.

According to the Government spinners, wait for it, this will elevate the national feelgood factor, just in time for the 2007 General Election. And who knows—FIFA might defer the 2006 World Cup for another year!

The Director of the Small Firms’ Association has warned that the scheme may damage the Irish economy, claiming that the current falling exchequer returns on VAT and the slowdown in car sales may be attributable to the scheme:—

“Over the duration of the scheme, over seven billion Euro will be removed from consumer spending and the Government must also budget to pay over one million Euro interest on deposits held in the scheme on maturity,” Mr. Delaney stated.

But his old mate, McCreevy would argue that the SSIA makes a substantial contribution in taking the heat out of the economy.

However, some would argue that no sooner had McCreevy introduced the SSIAs to divert consumer spending and slow down inflation, than the economy began to slow down anyhow!

THE BOYS OF THE SOUTH

Smart Boyos In Cork Know Their SSIAs blasted the headlines in the finance page of the Irish Independent (2.3.2002). According to a survey carried out by Aberdeen Asset Management in February, 2002:

“Munster has the greatest uptake of Special Savings Incentive Accounts to date.

“Connacht looks likely to have the lowest uptake by the April deadline.

“In this province there’s also the highest percentage of uncertainty over which type of account to open.

“Females are more likely to open a deposit account. Males are more likely to choose equity based accounts, as are the younger age bracket (18-24 years).”

The Aberdeen survey predicted participation by 53 per cent of all adults, which represented a dramatic drop on previous predictions. When the scheme closed on 30th April, 2002, the total takeup was 40 per cent of the entire adult population, well over a million people!

The survey also shows a big move in favour of deposit accounts following recent volatility on the shares market and the Eircom fiasco.

Among others, trends highlighted by the survey were the consistent uptake across each socio-economic group, except for the DEs (manual workers and unemployed).

The most prominent group of SSIA holders were the self employed—particularly farmers: farmer participants were 20 per cent above the median.

Middle class savers match the average monthly premium and working class savers underperform by nine per cent (i.e. they salt away €120 per month).

The Irish Life group also carried out a survey, they too discovered that if there is a ‘quick buck’ to be made, the Lords of the Land are in like a shot.

“They have enough savvy not to miss out on one of the greatest “freebies” in the history of the state—the Special Savings Incentive Account scheme” (Irish Independent 26.2.2002).

Farmers with large holdings are among those groups most heavily invested in the scheme, the Irish Life survey showed.

So too are the self-employed—proving that the pain of filing tax returns does have compensations in providing at least a modicum of financial education.
The middle classes are on the SSIA moneyspinner as well and are prominent SSIA holders.

However, the rest of the population appears to be inexplicably reluctant to cash in on the Government’s offer to top up everything you save by 25 per cent, according to Irish Life. This lot in Irish Life want to read a bit of Shaw.

WOMEN

Estimates from financial institutions show that approximately half of the new SSIA account holders are women.

A workmate explained to me how neatly the maximum SSIA monthly contribution coincides with the monthly Child Benefit payment for a middle class family with two children.

The maximum SSIA monthly contribution is €253.95. The monthly child benefit is €117.60 per child—€235.20 for two children.

**********************************************************
“When you rob Peter to pay Paul : Paul never objects.”
**********************************************************

The architect of the new savings scheme is the Minister for Finance, Charlie McCreevy.

In November, 2000, Mr. McCreevy received the following bit of advice from his civil servants: “Given the uncertain effectiveness of tax incentives for savings, the potential cost and significant deadweight, the provision of tax relief for capital investment in medium-term savings schemes is not recommended.” (Irish Times 6.5.2002).

So what will the Government get in return? The simple answer is that nobody knows, but what little research that is available indicates that benefits will be negligible. The objective of the scheme was to encourage savings and in the process take money out of circulation, with positive implications for Irish inflation which at about 5% remains among the highest in Europe.

“Irish inflation is now more than twice the Eurozone average and is driven by domestic cost pressure.” (Irish Examiner 3.6.2002).

Documents released under the Freedom of Information Act show that officials in Mr. McCreevy’s Department have trawled high and low to see if incentivised savings schemes actually boosted the national savings level. Their research led to the conclusion quoted earlier.

They found a comprehensive review carried out by the OECD in 1994 concluded: “There is not clear evidence that the level of taxation generally affects the overall level of household savings.”

They also referred to a study by the Senate Committee on Taxation in the United States which concluded: “Empirical investigations on the responsiveness of personal savings to after-tax returns provide no conclusive evidence.”

A third source cited by the research paper was the Institute of Fiscal Studies in the UK which concluded that:—

“…the degree to which schemes have succeeded in encouraging new savings or new savers is still an open question”.

“So despite being presented with an impressive array of evidence by his Government advisers, the Minister appears to have blundered on in his own inimitable style with a scheme that will cost the new government some €2.4 billion Euro it cannot afford and probably will not work.

“Even at the eleventh hour the Minister’s officials were sounding warnings. A hand-written note on a paper prepared for the Minister in February, 2001 sounded a cautious note. ‘This scheme could be very costly even on a limited take-up basis. You may wish to discuss measures to limit the cost escalating or to ensure we can close the scheme if the cost become unacceptable’, wrote the official. If such a discussion took place there appears little evidence that the advice was heeded.” (Irish Times 6.5.2002).

**********************************************************
“We have nothing to fear from our enemies without. It is the enemies within we must fear.” C.J. HAUGHEY 23.11.1992.
**********************************************************

GET UP AND FOLLOW CHARLIE?

The term ‘real Taoiseach’ is one that has been bandied around since 1979, shortly after Charles Haughey succeeded in deposing Jack Lynch.

Ironically enough, it was a mantra encouraged at the time by the “gang of 22” who opposed Haughey, and who were the harbingers of today’s Progressive Democrats, as they taunted Haughey.

But the term ‘real Taoiseach’, if it can be applied to a politician on the basis of moment and influence without title, surely belongs to the P.D. ‘fifth columnist’ in today’s Fianna Fail, Charlie McCreevy.

“Those close to him say that it would not cost him a thought to leave politics. They claim the corporate sector, even internationally, would snap him up as soon as he became free and that a whole new career awaits him in the outside world.

“‘I think the extent of his ambition politically is another stint at Finance’, according to one colleague. ‘I think he knows he won’t make Taoiseach, even if he wanted it. He knows there’s a certain type of popularity that goes with it and Charlie McCreevy is just not that kind of guy’.” (Sunday Business Post 2.12.2001).

“In that regard, he is the polar opposite of Bertie Ahern who would happily brief a lamp-post should the occasion demand it” (ibid.).

McCreevy and the PDs are happy to let Bertie brief every lamp-post in Dublin, whilst they get on with fulfilling their private sector agenda:—Tax Individualisation, the most anti-family legislation ever introduced in Dail Eireann; the Dirty Dozen social welfare cuts; the removal of tax on betting; the stand-off with the Credit Unions; five budgets behind him which together see the greatest gulf created between rich and poor in this country and, now the S.S.I.A. scheme.

Who needs to be Taoiseach, with that sort of political clout! And a free hand for another five budgets.

“He does not attend parliamentary party meetings very often, he is rarely present at the Order of Business in the Dail, the thrice-weekly bout of party political bloodsport that most ministers cannot resist coming in to have a gawk at; he attends few state functions…” (ibid.).

Elected to the Dail in Lynch’s landslide victory of 1977, McCreevy demonstrated his political colours almost immediately. The “liberal who detests middle-class liberals” made his first media impact by attacking George Colley on a proposal to impose a two per cent income levy on farmers.

After defending the levy at the party’s Ard Fheis, Colley later engaged in a humiliating climbdown. His failure of nerve led to an immediate loss of authority for Colley. The tax revolt by farmers was followed by massive protests by PAYE workers, who took to the streets of Dublin in their tens of thousands to protest at the inequitable burden of income tax.

McCreevy, the liberal reformer wasn’t going to allow nonsense about tax equality to impinge on the economic interests of his horsey supporters on the plains of Kildare—that’s for sure!

**********************************************************
“An accountant by profession, he was outspoken in his belief in the need of tough economic policies, but also held strong republican views and shared the same sentiments as Sile de Valera.” (The Power Game by Stephen Collins, O’Brien Press, 2000, p110).
**********************************************************

McCreevy was also a key player in Haughey’s overthrow of Lynch as leader of Fianna Fail in 1979:

“…Charlie McCreevy, who had played such an important role in Haughey’s campaign was left out in the cold” (p129, The Power Game).

He soon became critical of “Haughey’s attitude to the economy”, in 1981 he lost the Fianna Fail whip and for a time was an Independent T.D.

“McCreevy launched the second heave on Friday, Oct. 1, 1982 by putting down a motion of no confidence in Haughey.

“Disgraceful scenes marred the Haughey victory last night when former Minister, Jim Gibbons was punched outside Leinster House and Charlie McCreevy had to leave under Garda protection”, reported the Irish Independent political correspondent Chris Glennon.

“McCreevy was chased across the car park, kicked and jostled and called a ‘bastard’ and a ‘blueshirt’.

During the 1990 Presidential Election, when so much opprobrium was showered on Haughey for his ‘betrayal’ of Brian Lenihan, it is easily forgotten that Haughey did not act alone:

“Back in Dublin, Haughey was in consultation with P.J. Mara and McCreevy and they urged him to do the unthinkable—to sack Lenihan” (p204).

McCreevy was firmly in the Reynolds camp when Charles Haughey was ousted in 1992.

PUBLIC V PRIVATE ENTERPRISE

“It is widely rumoured that McCreevy and Minister for Public Enterprise Mary O’Rourke have a bad working relationship while remaining personally friendly.

“‘It’s a clash between someone [O’Rourke] who fundamentally supports state enterprise and someone [McCreevy] who supports free enterprise”, said one source. ‘If he had held that ministry, we’d have had a great deal more privatisation by now. Conceivably he would have got Aer Lingus into shape and floated off long before now’”.

Mary O’Rourke can hardly have forgotten the role played by McCreevy in the humiliation of her brother, Brian Lenihan in the 1990 Presidential Election, however, she kept up appearances for the Dublin journalistic gang. If McCreevy is a political ‘hooligan’, then Mrs. O’Rourke is the opposite: ‘a lady in politics’. For a time she appeared to have the potential to be in contention for the Fianna Fail leadership!

That she was deliberately sacrificed in the May General Election, there is no doubt. A similar fate was experienced by her brother, Brian Lenihan in Roscommon-Leitrim in 1973.

The talk is that she will become Cathaoirleach in the Seanad, receiving the nod of Ahern. But if Ahern was half a man, he would do what Eamon de Valera did in 1957, when in similar circumstances, Senator Sean Moylan was made Minister for Agriculture. But would the PDs allow him?

McCreevy is your ‘low tax-low spend’ man. The ‘rising tide raises all the boats’—if you have a boat.

“Charlie feels that the most effective way to help the underprivileged is to increase the pool of successful people so that they can pay the taxes to pay the poor”, said a colleague. “And he has done that; he has got people out of the poverty trap because he is genuinely someone who wants a balance between economic success and social progress” (Sunday Business Post 2.12.2001).

Ask the 15,000 millionaires for the answer to that one!

THE PRIVATISATION OF FIANNA FAIL

October, 1982, heralded a turning point in the history of Fianna Fail. Notions of a ‘national movement’ quickly disintegrated into another ‘just another political party’. “…selfless service to the state, the frugal lifestyle and the high ideals…” were being replaced by the advocates and practitioners of power, privilege and wealth. The accountant and his mind-set had arrived.

The ‘gang of 22’ who voted against Haughey on 6th October, 1982, provided the genesis of the element that formed the Progressive Democrats in December, 1985.

But what is far more interesting, and seldom reflected on, are the ‘jibbers’ in that ‘gang of 22’ who remained in Fianna Fail, and have acted as a veritable ‘fifth column’ for their buddies in the PDs.

McCreevy, the Minister for Finance is now the most prominent. Joe Walsh, the Minister for Agriculture was another. Others were Seamus Brennan, former government Chief Whip and now newly appointed Minister for Transport in the new Dail and Willie O’Dea, the Limerick TD and Sunday Independent columnist, and now a Junior minister in the Justice Department under the tutelage of his old school buddy, Michael McDowell.

At the Cabinet table, they are joined by the two P.D.s ‘Madam IBEC’ Harney, Tanaiste and McDowell as Minister for Justice.

In his book, The Power Game, Stephen Collins, the Sunday Tribune journalist, gives a very detailed and sympathetic outline of the origins of the PDs. In early 1985—

“…Fianna Fail friends of O’Malley were also considering the option of a new political party. Seamus Brennan, the former Fianna Fail General Secretary who had been an anti-Haughey T.D. since 1981, Mary Harney and David Andrews were chief among them” (p160).

“An opinion poll was organised by Brennan and financed by Barra O Tuama, the Cork hotel owner and concert promoter.”

The poll demonstrated encouraging prospects for a new party, with positive reaction from “the AB social category and the large farmers”.

The Summer of 1985 came and “…Seamus Brennan began to feel lukewarm about the project and eventually dropped out, apparently more interested in pursuing his political career within Fianna Fail” (ibid.).

However—

“Mary Harney remained a strong advocate of a new party. She was supported by another Fianna Fail T.D., Charlie McCreevy… and Paul MacKay who had been treasurer of the Fianna Fail organisation in Haughey’s constituency… O’Malley himself, however, still remained very reluctant to commit himself to the move” (p161).

A crucial meeting of the conspirators took place in September, 1985 at the home of Michael O’Leary in Wellington Road, Dublin. Yes, the O’Leary who was leader of the Labour Party, flew the coop and joined Fine Gael. Some say that Michael used boast that he was once a card carrying member of the Communist Party of Ireland!

O’Leary regularly met another Fine Gael cohort, Michael McDowell, in the Law Library of the Four Courts, McDowell was Chairman of Garret FitzGerald’s Dublin South-East constituency. Both were disillusioned and critical of the way the FitzGerald Fine Gael/Labour Government operated.

“At the meeting besides O’Leary were O’Malley, Harney, McDowell, MacKay and McCreevy. O’Malley advised doing nothing about the project, at least for the moment. Showing his impatience at the delay and indecision, McCreevy told the others that if the party did not go ahead that night, he would have nothing more to do with it” (p161).

O’Malley regarded McCreevy as “a bit reckless”, especially after the three botched attempts to liquidate Haughey.

The party was finally launched on 21st December, 1985. It had two TDs, O’Malley and Harney. “There was a wide expectation, both in Fianna Fail and the Progressive Democrats, that Dun Laoighaire F.F. TD, David Andrews would switch parties and there were rumours about Seamus Brennan from the neighbouring constituency” (p163).

In the end, only Cork TD Pearse Wyse and Bobby Molloy, the Galway FF TD crossed over. The rest sat tight and skulked and sulked behind Charles Haughey’s back. The now discredited Michael Keating was the only Fine Gael TD to join the new party.

“Michael O’Leary had been willing to join, but O’Malley thought this might give the impression that the PDs were simply a refuge for people who couldn’t find a home elsewhere. Despite the fact that he had been in on the planning of the new party, there was no room for him in it” (The Power Game Stephen Collins).

Michael O’Leary has since been appointed a Judge.

“Of the cabinet members, McCreevy is closest to Mary Harney, Brian Cowen and Jim McDaid, although Harney would be his closest ally on the economic philosophy front.

“He sees himself as a practical businessman who would like a few more around him”, said one colleague. “He would regard a lot of the dissent about some of his decisions as coming from people without any business experience” (Sunday Business Post 2.12.2001).

THE FIANNA FAIL/PROGRESSIVE DEMOCRAT GOVERNMENTS

In those coalitions with the Progressive Democrats, the ‘gang of 22’ were always at the core of negotiations.

“A number of the T.D.s, particularly Joe Walsh and Charlie McCreevy of Fianna Fail, and Mary Harney of the P.D.s, also kept up contacts during the negotiations and helped to facilitate dialogue when the process ran into trouble” (p190).

One of the major gains for Fianna Fail in the May General Election was the success of their ‘second’ candidate in South-West Cork, Denis O’Donovan. It was the first time since the foundation of Fianna Fail that the party gained two seats in this three seat constituency—the old home of Michael Collins, which was exploited for years by Fine Gael. Labour for decades had a ‘natural’ seat here through the Murphy family, but alas.

The present writer, spent some time in the constituency prior to 17th May, and it was obvious that Walsh had little interest in gaining a second seat for Fianna Fail. “Bertie’s Boy” as the locals described Denis was on his own—it was more “Charlie’s Boy”—but O’Donovan made the historic breakthrough and topped the poll, to boot.

Ahern attempted to remove Joe Walsh from the cabinet, but outside interests such as the Kerry Group and Dermot Desmond ensured his retaining the portfolio.

THE TWO GANGS OF ‘22’

OCTOBER 6, 1982: Tom Meaney, Joe Walsh, Pearse Wyse, Sean French, David Andrews, Sylvester Barrett, Tom Bellew, Seamus Brennnan, Sean Byrne, Hugh Byrne, George Colley, Padraig Faulkner, Tom Fitzpatrick, Jim Gibbons, Mary Harney, Charles McCreevy, Bobby Molloy, Willie O’Dea, Martin O’Donoghue, Des O’Malley; Hugh Conaghan and Ciaran Murphy.

NOVEMBER 11, 1991: David Andrews, Michael Barrett, Brian Cowan, Noel Dempsey, John Ellis, Liam Fitzgerald, Padraig Flynn, Marie Geoghegan-Quinn, Brian Hillery, Liam Hyland, Brendan Connolly, Tom Kitt, Liam Lawlor, Jimmy Leonard, Charlie McCreevy, M.J. Nolan, Willie O’Dea, Sean Power, Albert Reynolds, Michael Smith, Noel Treacy and Dan Wallace.

NEW ZEALAND: A MODEL COUNTRY

WHEN the Progressive Democrats were launched in December, 1985, New Zealand was held up as a model of the PD aspiration towards economic rationalism.

What a sorry state New Zealand ended up in! A couple of years ago, you could hardly get down the main thoroughfares of their largest city, Auckland, with the sight, smell and hum of small oil generators operating outside the main business premises after the recently privatised N.Z. State Electricity service broke down, over lack of maintenance by the new private consortiums, who hoped to make a major financial killing!

“Madam IBEC”, the Tanaiste, should be reminded of this when she attempts to dispose of the ESB. But it is probably the ESB workers who should be on their guard, and never mind the ‘fool’s gold’ which is on offer in the way of a shareholding. That’s if the Trade Unions can differentiate between their national interest, and a genuine shareholding in the ESB, or a “cop it and hop it” short-term view!

But the ultimate ‘coup de grace’ for New Zealand’s economic rationalists came last February, 2002, when the NZ Government-backed KIWIBANK opened the first seven of its proposed 250 branches. Just imagine: opening a State Bank in this era of ultimate market forces. In Ireland, we couldn’t ditch such institutions fast enough, TSB, ACC and ICC.

Again, the P.D. ‘hawk in the F.F. holly’ McCreevy was the prime promoter—using the revenue from such sales to underwrite his zero-tax policies for the rich!

“These new policies represent the beginning of an attempt to rescue the nation’s ailing economy, before New Zealand slips into Second or Third World status.” (News Weekly, Melbourne 23.2.2002.).

Many people will be watching closely the performance of the new State Bank in New Zealand. Its prospects look bright, although there are a number of hurdles to overcome.

The new bank is setting up a small number of branches initially, to test its systems and procedures, before expanding its network in two or three months time.

The new bank, underwritten by a NZ$78 million dollar Government investment last year, is owned and operated by NZ Post. It effectively reverses a decision taken in the late 1980s when the Labour Government’s Roger Douglas privatised the government-run Bank of New Zealand, which subsequently became a subsidiary of the National Australia Bank (NAB). In fact, the major private banks in New Zealand are all subsidiaries of the four large Australian banks, ANZ, NAB, Commonwealth and Westpac.

KIWIBANK is to be New Zealand owned, have a national network, and provide lower fees than the other major banks.

Other independent commentators have been positive about the new bank. Massey University lecturer, David Tripe, told the Dominion newspaper that the foundations of the new bank’s operations came from the fact that they were operating out of NZ Post premises, and had been able to use more modern technology, which enabled it to process transactions more efficiently than its competitors. “People who anticipate that the whole thing is going to turn to custard by election time (July-Ed.) are unduly hopeful of disaster”, he said.

The New Zealand Government’s initiative reverses the trend towards privatisation, which has been pursued relentlessly by governments in both Australia and New Zealand for almost 20 years by the likes of phoney labour leaders such as Douglas of N.Z. and Bob Hawke of Australia.


If you wish to subscribe to the Irish Political Review, Labour & Trade Union Review, Church & State or Problems Of Capitalism & Socialism please go to our secure sales area. Postal delivery is free within the European Union.

Go To Secure Sales Area


Public Archive Index

Athol Books Home Page

Labour Comment Articles